Instant payments and brazilian pix: lessons from the indian experience in the 2010’s

  • Tatiana Silveira Camacho Universidade Federal de Uberlândia
  • Guilherme Jonas Costa da Silva Universidade Federal de Uberlândia
Keywords: PIX, Unified Payments Interface, Central Bank, NARDL models

Abstract

Instant payments are part of an ecosystem of financial innovations, promoting quick and easy access to funds. Through Nonlinear Distributed Lag Autoregressive Models (NARDL), this article aims to draw lessons from the Indian experience with the Unified Payments Interface (UPI), for the Brazilian Pix. The empirical results show that the substitutes for instant payments (credit and debit cards) have a complementary character, while the measure of relative popularity of mobile banking (MB/WLESS) and degree of sophistication of the financial system (M1/GDP) has immediate effects on these flows. Short-term negative asymmetric shocks had greater impacts on instant payment systems.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abraham, S. (2020). “Unified Payment Interface: Towards greater cyber sovereignty,” ORF Issue Brief. No. 380, Observer Research Foundation. Retrieved from: <https://blog.sodipress.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/Unified-Payment-Interface.pdf>. Access date: 12.jun.2021.

Alves, C. E. A.; Lima, R. R. S. & Madeira, R. F. (2018). Telecomunicações e Inclusão Digital. In: FERRARI, Marcos Adolfo Ribeiro (org.) et al. O BNDES e as agendas setoriais : contribuições para a transição de governo. Rio de Janeiro: Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social. p. 23-29. Retrieved from: <https://web.bndes.gov.br/bib/jspui/handle/1408/18480>. Access date: 04 Apr. 2022.

Araujo, F. (2022). Initial steps towards a central bank digital currency by the Central Bank of Brazil. In: BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS. Monetary and Economic Department. CBDCS in Emerging Market Economies. Basel. ISSN 1682-7651. Site: BIS. BIS Papers No 123. p.31-37. Retrieved from: <https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap123.pdf#page=35>. Access date: 19 July.2022.

Banco Central do Brasil (2020). Diretoria colegiada do Banco Central do Brasil. Resolução no1 de 12 de agosto de 2020. Institui o arranjo de pagamentos do Pix e aprova o seu regulamento. Brasília: Diretoria colegiada do Banco Central do Brasil, 2020.

Banco Central do Brasil (BCB, 2020). Estabilidade Financeira. Pix. Retrieved from:<https://www.bcb.gov.br/estabilidadefinanceira/pagamentosinstantaneos>. Access date: 02.out.2020.

Banco Central do Brasil (BCB, 2020a). Relatório de Economia Bancária do Banco Central 2019. Retrieved from: <https://www.bcb.gov.br/publicacoes/relatorioeconomiabancaria.> Access date: 04.jan.2021.

Bank of International Settlements (BIS) (2012). Principle for financial Market infrastructures. Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures. Basel, Switzerland. Retrieved from: . Access date: 12.dez.2020.

Bank of International Settlements (BIS) (2016). Fast payments: Enhancing the speed and availability of retail payments. Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures. Basel, Switzerland. Retrieved from: www.bis.org. Access date: 18.nov.2020.

Bech, M, L.; Hobijn, B. (2006). Technology diffusion within central banking: the case of real-time gross settlement. FRB of New York Staff Report, n. 260. p.1-33. Retrieved from: <https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=932596>. Access date: 06.set.2021.

Chaudhari, D; Dhal, S & Sonali, M, A. (2019). Payment systems innovation and currency demand in India: Some applied perspectives. Reserve Bank of India Occasional Papers, 40(2), p. 33-63.

D’Silva, D; Filková, Z; Packer, F & Siddharth, T. (2019). The design of digital financial infrastructure: lessons from India. Monetary and Economic Department. BIS Paper, n. 106. p.1-33. Retrieved from: <https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3505373>. Access date: 15 jun.2021.

Edwards, S. (1995). Why are Saving Rates so Different Across Countries? An International Comparative Analysis. NBER Working Paper, No. W5097. p. 1-46. Retrieved from: <https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w5097/w5097.pdf>. Access date: 16 nov. 2021.

Eichengreen, B.; Gupta, P & Marple, T. (2022). Central Bank Digital Currency for India? New Dehli: National Council of Applied Economic Research. Working Paper n. 138. p. 1-31. Retrieved from: <https://www.ncaer.org/publication_details.php?pID=415>. Access date: 19 july 2022.

Gala, P; Araújo, E & Bresser-Pereira, L.C. (2010). Efeitos da taxa de câmbio na poupança interna: análise teórica e evidências empíricas para o caso brasileiro. Textos para disscussão, 252. p.1-23, FGV-EESP. Retrieved from: <https://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/dspace;handl/handle/10438/6625>. Access date: 01 mar. 2022.

Giraldo Mora, J.C; Hedman, J & Avital. M (2020). The Evolution of Global Instant Payment Infrastructure. Available at SSRN. p. 1-24. Retrieved from: <https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3591972>. Access date: 02. may.2021.

Gochhwal, R (2017). Unified Payment Interface—an Advancement in Payment Systems. American Journal of Industrial and Business Management, Wuhan (China): Scientific Research Publishing, 7(10), p. 1174-1191. ISSN: 2164-5175. DOI: 10.4236/ajibm.2017.710084.

Jareño, F; Gonzalez M, O; Tolentino, M & Sierra, K. (2020). Bitcoin and gold price returns: a quantile regression and NARDL analysis. Resources Policy, Amsterdam: Elsevier, 67, p. 1-14. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101666.

Keynes, J. M (1996). Teoria geral do emprego, do juro e da moeda. Os Economistas. São Paulo: Editora Nova Cultural Ltda. Tradução: Editora Atlas S.A. São Paulo. Título original: The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. ISBN: 85-351-0917-X.

Lee, E; Yip, S (2008). Liquidity and Risk Management in the RTGS System—the Hong Kong Experience. Hong Kong Monetary Authority Quarterly Bulletin, p. 1-4.

Lubis, A.; Constantinos, A.; Nellis, J. G. (2019). Gauging the Impact of Payment System Innovations on Financial Intermediation: Novel Empirical Evidence from Indonesia. Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Thousand Oaks, California: SAGE. 18(3), p. 1-49. DOI: 10.1177/0972652719846312.

Narayan, K, P (2004). Reformulating critical values for the bounds F-statistics approach to cointegration: an application to the tourism demand model for Fiji. Australia: Monash University, p.1-32.

National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) (2015). Unified Payment Interface. API and Technology specifications. Version 1.0 (Draft). Retrieved from <https://www.mygov.in/digidhan/pages/pdf/sbi/NPCI%20Unified%20Payment%20Interface.pdf> Access date: 14.jun.2021.

National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) (2016). Unified Payments Interface. Procedural Guidelines. Retrieved from: <http://www.slbcmadhyapradesh.in/docs/UPI_Procedural_Guidelines24_12_2016.pdf>. Access date: 14. Jun. 2021.

National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI). UPI Faqs. Retrieved from: <https://www.npci.org.in/what-we-do/upi/faq>. Access date: 10.jun.2021.

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pesaran, Bahram. (1997). Working with Microfit 4.0: Interactive Econometric Analysis. Oxford, Oxford University Press.

Pesaran, M. H; Shin, Y (1998). An autoregressive distributed-lag modeling approach to cointegration analysis. Econometric Society Monographs, 31, p. 371-413, 1998.

Pesaran, M. H.; Shin, Y; Smith, J. R. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), p. 289-326, 2001.

Pricewaterhouse & Coopers (PWC) (2022). O abismo digital no Brasil. Como a desigualdade de acesso à internet a infraestrutura inadequada e a educação deficitária limitam nossas opções para o futuro.

Pricewaterhouse and Coopers (PwC), Instituto Locomotiva, Retrieved from: <https://www.pwc.com.br/pt/estudos/preocupacoes-ceos/mais temas/2022/O_Abismo_Digital.pdf>. Access date: 01. Apr. 2022.

Raj, J; Bhattacharyya, I; Behera, R, S; John, J & Talwar, A. B. (2020). Modeling and Forecasting Currency Demand in India: A Heterodox Approach. Reserve Bank of India Occasional Papers. 41(1), p.1-39.

Reddy, S & Kumarasamy, D. (2017). Impact of Credit Cards and Debit Cards on Currency Demand and Seigniorage: Evidence from India. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 21(3), p. 1-15.

Reserve Bank of India (RBI, 2020a). Payment and Settlement Systems and Information Technology. Annual Report. Retrieved from: <https://m.rbi.org.in/Scripts/AnnualReportPublications.aspx?Id=1293#BOX91>. Access date: 02.jun.2021

Ro Hartmannoj, D & Sengupta, R. (2020) The Real-Time Impact on Real Economy—A Multivariate BVAR Analysis of Digital Payment Systems and Economic Growth in India. ADBI Working Paper Series, No. 1128. p. 1-21. Retrieved from: <https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/238485>. Access date: 30. april.2021.

Shin, Y; Yu, B & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In: Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt. Springer, New York, p. 281-314.

Thomas, R. & Chatterjee, A (2017). Unified Payment Interface (UPI): A Catalyst Tool Supporting Digitalization–Utility, Prospects & Issues.International Journal of Innovative Research and Advanced Studies (Ijiras). India, 4(2), p. 192-195. ISSN: 2394 4404.

Yilmazkuday, H (2011). Monetary policy and credit cards: Evidence from a small open economy. Economic Modelling, 28(1-2), p. 201-210.

Published
2024-12-07
How to Cite
Camacho, T. S., & Silva, G. J. C. da S. (2024). Instant payments and brazilian pix: lessons from the indian experience in the 2010’s. Brazilian Keynesian Review, 10(2), 287-311. https://doi.org/10.33834/bkr.v10i2.336
Section
Articles